A very special constellation makes the prognosis for the North and Baltic Seas extremely difficult. Various developments are conceivable.
The Kiel marine weather specialist Dr Meeno Schrader is unable to make a concrete forecast for the long weekend ahead: "To make a real forecast would be dubious." ¶
The meteorologist explains the dilemma: “We are dealing with a very special weather situation, which on the one hand could be determined by a trough over the English Channel and a low-pressure channel close to the ground, which may slide into northern Germany by Friday. On the other hand, there is a weak high pressure wedge over Jutland, which could slowly build up.
Depending on which of the two scenarios occurs at the end, we are at best dealing with moderate but steady wind from the north quadrant and rather dry air, whereby in this case too, the influence of low pressure would be noticeable on Monday at the latest, which with increasing wind and Thunderstorm gusts near the coast.
In the worse case, we would be in the center of the lows and would accordingly have to reckon with little wind from the north and an increased probability of showers and thunderstorms."